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authorYuren Hao <yurenh2@illinois.edu>2026-07-16 07:32:45 -0500
committerYuren Hao <yurenh2@illinois.edu>2026-07-16 07:32:45 -0500
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treed54666eacbd85bbce7acecdb9d88e187847bbd50 /docs/campaign/CASCADE_ABLATION_PLAN.md
parent35e7582287ab5a82bf57561895b5a095dc9b6e24 (diff)
RESULT 30: quantization Delta-vs-Delta — zero-tax at 8-bit operating point for BOTH; EP-specific tax (1.4-8x) below it; beta-buyback prediction designed
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com> Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_014FAPDWQ49M5Ye3NpTndTpn
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@@ -568,6 +568,30 @@ direction), not training-under-fault; wave-2 = co-training with faults injected
+### RESULT 30 (2026-07-16): QUANTIZATION Delta-vs-Delta MATRIX — equal at the operating point, EP-SPECIFIC tax below it.
+BP mirror suite complete (bp_qctl baseline 1.2171 — resumed-tail+amp beats the original fp32 twin,
+which is exactly why in-family baselines were required; user's methodology point vindicated).
+| injection | Delta_EP (vs 1.2678) | Delta_BP (vs 1.2171) | EP/BP ratio |
+|---|---|---|---|
+| qup 10-bit | +0.012 | +0.003 | ~4x |
+| qup 8-bit | +0.042 | +0.015 | ~3x |
+| qup 6-bit | +0.092 | +0.068 | ~1.4x |
+| qcomp 8-bit | **+0.002** | **+0.000** | **both ZERO** |
+| qcomp 6-bit | +0.035 | +0.004 | ~8x |
+| qcomp 4-bit | +0.140 | +0.061 | ~2.3x |
+Readings:
+1. AT THE T64 OPERATING POINT (8-bit compute + digital master): quantization is free for BOTH.
+ The BP QAT toolbox transfers AT this point; T64 green light unconditional on this axis.
+2. BELOW it, the tax is EP-SPECIFIC (1.4-8x faster degradation): quantization roughness enters the
+ finite-beta measurement chain as an extra epsilon in the wall-1 SNR term (the estimator protects
+ an O(beta)-scale signal; BP has no such small signal). A blanket "EP inherits BP quantization
+ behavior" claim is REFUTED below 8 bits — publishable Stage-0 finding.
+3. MECHANISM PREDICTION (designed, pending GPU): bigger beta should buy back quantization
+ tolerance (noise-to-displacement ratio ~ 1/beta) — one arm: qcomp6 + beta 1e-2 tail vs qcomp6@3e-3
+ (+0.035). If confirmed, the window story absorbs quantization as another epsilon term.
+4. Procurement consequence: acceptance ENOB bar STAYS ~7 (do NOT relax to 6 on BP intuition —
+ EP@6-bit compute is +0.035 real).
+
### RESULT 29 (2026-07-16): qcomp VERDICT — 8-bit COMPUTE quantization is FREE (T64 green light); centmirror ships (1.39x).
qcomp arms (compute on DAC-grid weights, fp32 master = word-streaming / shadow accumulation),
same protocol, vs ctl 1.2678: