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| -rw-r--r-- | docs/campaign/CASCADE_ABLATION_PLAN.md | 14 |
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diff --git a/docs/campaign/CASCADE_ABLATION_PLAN.md b/docs/campaign/CASCADE_ABLATION_PLAN.md index efe5856..f919db1 100644 --- a/docs/campaign/CASCADE_ABLATION_PLAN.md +++ b/docs/campaign/CASCADE_ABLATION_PLAN.md @@ -568,6 +568,20 @@ direction), not training-under-fault; wave-2 = co-training with faults injected +### RESULT 71 (2026-07-29): DOSE CURVE — logarithmic recovery (34/50/63% at x4/8/16), +DISPLACEMENT-EQUIVALENCE LAW triple-confirmed, cos retired as a metric; TREATMENT VALIDATION +LAUNCHED (bsign + dg8top, full remaining segment). +Battery 7: dg8top closes 50% (cos 0.63), dg4-x-beta6e-3 closes 50% (cos 0.84, tail IDENTICAL +3.5439=3.5439 — route-independence again), dg16top 63% (cos 0.47, CE still improving). +Laws: (1) CE depends only on the total top-half displacement product, not the route (three +exact equalities now); (2) recovery ~ +13-16% per dose DOUBLING = thresholds spread over +decades, log-slow to full closure, practical zone 50-70%; (3) anchor contamination (cos down +to 0.47) is benign noise vs the systematic threshold signal — direction metrics carry zero +predictive weight in this campaign, final. +IN FLIGHT: fw135m_dg8 (bsign + dgain_top 8, s250000 -> 440k, 2-GPU, ~28h) — the treated 135M +number; predicts endpoint ~3.25-3.29 if the 50% rate cut integrates (untreated 3.3839, BP +3.0902). GPU3: dg32top curve tail (log-law predicts ~72%). + ### RESULT 70 (2026-07-29): FIRST REAL LEVERS — displacement amplification recovers the leak (dg4top +34% at cos-0.83 price, CE judges); the beta benefit factorizes to 100% DISPLACEMENT, 0% force; ffn carries ~half with an attn-ffn interaction term. |