diff options
Diffstat (limited to 'docs/campaign')
| -rw-r--r-- | docs/campaign/CASCADE_ABLATION_PLAN.md | 16 |
1 files changed, 16 insertions, 0 deletions
diff --git a/docs/campaign/CASCADE_ABLATION_PLAN.md b/docs/campaign/CASCADE_ABLATION_PLAN.md index e7146c0..79f245e 100644 --- a/docs/campaign/CASCADE_ABLATION_PLAN.md +++ b/docs/campaign/CASCADE_ABLATION_PLAN.md @@ -568,6 +568,22 @@ direction), not training-under-fault; wave-2 = co-training with faults injected +### RESULT 39 (2026-07-17): SEED CAMPAIGN VERDICT — ride_s1 was a lucky draw, AND RESULT 26's "statistical zero-gap" was anchored on BP's weakest seed. CLAIM CORRECTED. +| run | s1 | s2 | s3 | mean +- sd | +|---|---|---|---|---| +| stage1b_ride (EP governor) | 1.2016 | 1.2738 | 1.2592 | 1.2449 +- 0.038 | +| stage1b_bp (twin) | 1.2311 | 1.2050 | 1.2063 | 1.2141 +- 0.015 | +(protocol note: bp_s2/s3 ran --amp like all EP arms; bp_s1 was the original fp32 run.) +1. ride's 1.2016 = the deepest dip of a HIGH-VARIANCE family (range 0.07) — the single best + number of all six runs, but by distribution BP leads (means 0.031 apart, ~2 sd). +2. ERRATUM to RESULT 26/35 zero-gap phrasing: bp_s1 (1.2311) is the WEAKEST of BP's three + seeds. Against the BP 3-seed mean (1.2141): cent-full gap +0.019, plain3e3 +0.023 — + SMALL gap, not statistical zero. The honest C512 statement until EP-recipe seeds land: + "EP within ~0.02 of the BP seed-mean; family distributions overlap at the tails." +3. NEEDED for the final number: EP-recipe seeds (cent/plain3e3 currently n=1) — queued after + the ridev2 probes on GPU0; deck S9's zero-gap line to be softened in the next revision. +4. The BP-fairness lr mini-sweep remains queued behind that (RESULT 36 protocol). + ### RESULT 38 (2026-07-17): 2D UPDATE-FIELD ANALYSIS (professor's suggestion) — the finite-beta field IS non-conservative, but only where training doesn't live; EP and BP reach DIFFERENT, equally deep basins. Method: fieldviz.py — full-model PCA plane over 27 snapshots of 5 runs (49% trajectory variance); 13x13 grid; loss contours + three update fields (BP, EP@3e-4, EP@1e-2; 2-batch averaged; |