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-rw-r--r--docs/campaign/CASCADE_ABLATION_PLAN.md8
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diff --git a/docs/campaign/CASCADE_ABLATION_PLAN.md b/docs/campaign/CASCADE_ABLATION_PLAN.md
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@@ -582,8 +582,12 @@ direction), not training-under-fault; wave-2 = co-training with faults injected
- RECIPE CONSEQUENCE: estimator upgrades (centered/centfast/centmirror) demote to cos-telemetry
tools and insurance; the working recipe trends to PLAIN single-sided + ride governor = 1.0x
estimator cost. 8B ledger returns to the 3.2x base.
-- Full-epoch validations in flight: stage1b_plain3e3 (46k, tracking cent-full within 0.004),
- stage1b_est15 (26k), stage1b_ride (LAUNCHED, GPU3 — the recipe candidate).
+- Full-epoch validations: stage1b_est15 SEALED 1.2374 (+0.0063 vs BP — the beta-coupled switch
+ rule lands at the seed-band edge; consistent with the big-beta cluster 1.233-1.238);
+ stage1b_plain3e3 (46k+) and stage1b_ride (GPU3) in flight.
+- beta-buyback arm LAUNCHED (qb6_b1e2: 6-bit compute quant at beta 1e-2; RESULT 30's mechanism
+ prediction — if the +0.035 tax shrinks, quantization noise is confirmed as a wall-1 epsilon
+ term purchasable with beta; control = bab_p1e2 1.2571).
### RESULT 32 (2026-07-16): CROWN RESEALED — fw72m_cent 3.3318 vs BP 3.2884: honest gap 0.043, 10x below the blown-schedule number.
fw72m_cent complete: 234k steps / 1.44B FineWeb tokens, from scratch, fully BP-free, DDP 2xA6000.