Add AAAI depth experiments and diagnostic figures

1 files changed, 11 insertions, 9 deletions

diff --git a/README.md b/README.md
index 171bd24..2bdd779 100644
--- a/README.md
+++ b/README.md
@@ -1,9 +1,9 @@
 # facap — What Does Random Feedback Cost?
 
-Theory + experiments quantifying the training cost of **feedback alignment**
-(FA: fixed random backward matrices instead of transposed weights) relative to
-backpropagation in MLPs. Target venue: **AAAI-27** (abstract 2026-07-20,
-paper 2026-07-27).
+Theory + experiments quantifying the training cost of **fixed random
+feedback** relative to backpropagation.  Exact initialization results cover
+FA and DFA; finite-time analysis and experiments focus on FA. Target venue:
+**AAAI-27** (abstract 2026-07-20, paper 2026-07-27).
 
 ## Results in one table
 
@@ -11,17 +11,19 @@ paper 2026-07-27).
 |---|---|
 | static alignment is an exact Beta(1/2,(D-1)/2) law; log-volume cost adds to Theta(Ln^2) | 700k samples, KS p 0.17-0.99; Gamma(L,1) max KS 0.0042 |
 | no prior-free feedback initialization beats isotropic (minimax 1/D) | exact theorem + lam_min table |
-| initial FA/BP speed gap = hidden-layer BP speed share, exactly, any depth | synthetic 0.4378 vs 0.4403; MNIST diff <= 0.0089 over share 0.39-0.82 |
+| exact expected initial deficit = nonoutput BP decrease share, for FA and DFA | depth 1/2/3/4/6: max row error 0.0092; CE CNN max error 0.0083 |
 | one-hidden-layer e0 is exactly Gaussian | KS p 0.13-0.999, real-backward sampler |
-| the finite-time gap is a closed-form **soft ramp** — no phase transition | dense T=30000: log-linear R^2 0.993; closed form corr 0.933 matched / 0.982 ensemble; lam_min corr 0.987 |
-| a two-snapshot early-velocity estimator predicts the gap with no fit | 256 traj: MAE 0.0019, corr 0.999; stress grid 0.994-0.99989; MNIST MAE 0.0020 (3.9% rel) |
+| random-direction deletion is not an FA cost model | up to 250x finite-time overprediction |
+| matrix mismatch does not set FA's finite-time cost | depth 1->6: joint alignment proxy drops 18.1 orders while width-64 gap grows 0.0421->0.3461; frozen MAE 0.0669 vs two-snapshot 0.0104/0.0139 |
+| initialization-rate compensation is material but incomplete | gap reduction 29-51% across depths; independently tuned BP/FA retain a gap |
 | optimization cost is invariant; test-side effect is task-dependent | teacher task: test gap sign flip (-0.120+/-0.013 at w=32) |
 
 ## Layout
 
-- `notes/` — project memory. Entry points: `notes/41_paper_plan.md` (plan),
+- `notes/` — project memory. Entry points: `notes/43_aaai_accept_bar_experiments.md`
+  (new experiments), `notes/41_paper_plan.md` (older writing plan),
   `notes/36_evidence_ledger.md` (numbers), `notes/40_reproduction_manifest.md`
-  (runs). `notes/README.md` indexes all 41 notes with status.
+  (runs). `notes/README.md` indexes all 43 notes with status.
 - `scripts/` — all experiments (python, float64, CPU; deterministic seeds).
   `scripts/README.md` has the status table and recipes.
 - `outputs/` — gitignored, regenerable. Paper-grade runs are exactly those in