From 8303dfb554a77d9f96d6feb8fb99d3493a726682 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: YurenHao0426 Date: Fri, 7 Aug 2026 15:55:04 -0500 Subject: exp: move released-profile screen to centered EP --- RAIN_EP_RELEASED_PROFILE.md | 15 +++++++++++++++ 1 file changed, 15 insertions(+) (limited to 'RAIN_EP_RELEASED_PROFILE.md') diff --git a/RAIN_EP_RELEASED_PROFILE.md b/RAIN_EP_RELEASED_PROFILE.md index 1b46f1e..c5bed5e 100644 --- a/RAIN_EP_RELEASED_PROFILE.md +++ b/RAIN_EP_RELEASED_PROFILE.md @@ -66,3 +66,18 @@ had a slightly lower residual (`7.42e-3` versus `7.55e-3`) but lower accuracy so R0 is ambiguous negative development evidence and is not promoted. The stable centered-EP backbone identified by C0 is required before further task confirmation. + +The paper-facing decision is based on downstream accuracy, not residual-bias +diagnostics. Reinterpreted on that basis, R0 supplies one positive cadence +(49.9% affine versus 44.8% intercept at cadence 10) and one negative cadence +(47.1% versus 48.4% at cadence 50). This cadence sensitivity and the single +unstable positive-EP run make R0 inconclusive rather than a mechanism gate. + +## R1 centered-EP screen + +R1 freezes cadence 10 from the only positive R0 downstream comparison and +moves to the stable centered estimator. On the same 10,000/2,000 development +split, one epoch compares centered clean, fixed raw/intercept/SDIL, released- +profile raw/intercept/SDIL, and a released-profile oracle. Downstream holdout +accuracy is the only selection endpoint. Residual diagnostics are retained +only to catch implementation errors. -- cgit v1.2.3