From a1e684f277b85eacea18ab1dc6a59e4f528e14d2 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: YurenHao0426 Date: Sat, 29 Aug 2026 21:16:56 -0500 Subject: docs: close the overclamp scaling evidence --- THREE_PART_EVIDENCE.md | 16 +++++++++++----- 1 file changed, 11 insertions(+), 5 deletions(-) (limited to 'THREE_PART_EVIDENCE.md') diff --git a/THREE_PART_EVIDENCE.md b/THREE_PART_EVIDENCE.md index b597e25..b8785e4 100644 --- a/THREE_PART_EVIDENCE.md +++ b/THREE_PART_EVIDENCE.md @@ -86,16 +86,23 @@ instruction-off observations per edge at 2,048 edges. Final error changes from 95% interval from -5.94 to -0.31. Stable-zero fraction changes from 23.33% to 20.00%. The preregistered decision is `sampling_limited=false`. -The overclamp confirmation is complete through 1,152 edges. At that size, -clean overclamping, imperfect overclamping, and overclamping plus SDIL end at -1.25%, 45.31%, and 1.25% error. The 2,048-edge endpoint is still running. +The full overclamp confirmation gives the same result. At 2,048 edges, clean +overclamping, imperfect overclamping, and overclamping plus SDIL end at 0.63%, +46.88%, and 0.83% error. Their stable-zero fractions are 95.0%, 2.5%, and +93.3%. Relative to imperfect overclamping, SDIL reduces the excess final-error +growth slope by 99.0% (95% interval 97.4% to 100.0%), eliminates the positive +error-AUC slope, and reduces the excess stable-failure growth slope by 98.2% +(94.9% to 100.0%). The publication figure and data are: - `results/figs/figure_clln_scaling_confirmation.pdf` - `results/figs/figure_clln_scaling_confirmation_resources.pdf` +- `results/figs/figure_clln_overclamp_scaling_confirmation.pdf` - `results/coupled_ladder/p2_scaling_analysis.json` - `results/coupled_ladder/p2_scaling_source.csv` +- `results/coupled_ladder/p3_overclamp_scaling_analysis.json` +- `results/coupled_ladder/p3_overclamp_scaling_source.csv` The mechanism statement is now explicit in `THEORY.md`. For a local state-dependent component error, conditional subtraction removes at least as @@ -188,5 +195,4 @@ teaching rule itself is contrastive and local. ## Remaining gates -1. Finish the 2,048-edge overclamp endpoint and rebuild its scaling figure. -2. Audit every manuscript number against its source JSON. +1. Audit every publication-facing number against its source JSON. -- cgit v1.2.3