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authorYurenHao0426 <Blackhao0426@gmail.com>2026-04-08 22:43:52 -0500
committerYurenHao0426 <Blackhao0426@gmail.com>2026-04-08 22:43:52 -0500
commitac94c005cc7d5b45605bcefda448996bc01b7d0d (patch)
treef8a7c164bf479117d7918108e56e3817e23d87f4 /models
parentf0941c65cbb815385bffdf1fe99405cf9382a420 (diff)
paper v2.38: ddof=1 statistical convention sweep (sample std with Bessel)
User picked option B: convert all 3-seed std values across the paper from ddof=0 (population) to ddof=1 (Bessel-corrected sample std). Bessel correction for n=3: ddof=1 std is √(3/2) ≈ 1.22× larger than ddof=0. About 22% inflation per value. 49 ± value replacements across §1, §2, §4, §5, Tables 1+2+9, Appendix H, Appendix L, and intermediate prose. Major updates: Table 1 (5-method audit accuracies): BP 0.615 ± 0.003 → 0.615 ± 0.004 EP 0.316 ± 0.030 → 0.316 ± 0.037 DFA 0.306 ± 0.006 → 0.306 ± 0.008 SB 0.205 ± 0.032 → 0.205 ± 0.039 CB 0.289 ± 0.026 → 0.289 ± 0.031 Frozen baseline: 0.349 ± 0.002 → 0.349 ± 0.003 (4 occurrences) §5 matched 30-ep controls: BP no-pen 0.585 ± 0.001 (already 0.001, ddof=1 = 0.0009 stays) BP+pen 0.532 ± 0.006 → 0.532 ± 0.007 DFA no-pen 0.301 ± 0.005 → 0.301 ± 0.006 DFA+pen 0.360 ± 0.001 → 0.360 ± 0.002 SB+pen 0.453 ± 0.003 stays (0.0030 → 0.003) CB+pen 0.360 ± 0.003 → 0.360 ± 0.004 §4 ¶4 cosines: SB+pen cos +0.322 ± 0.007 → +0.322 ± 0.008 CB+pen cos +0.679 ± 0.008 → +0.679 ± 0.010 DFA+pen cos +0.151 ± 0.025 stays (pooled n=12 ddof=1=0.0247) §4 ¶4 perturbation rho: SB+pen rho +0.402 ± 0.015 → +0.402 ± 0.019 CB+pen rho +0.464 ± 0.025 → +0.464 ± 0.030 DFA+pen rho +0.080 ± 0.011 → +0.080 ± 0.012 §4 ¶4 nudging test: SB -1.93 ± 0.11×10^-3 → -1.93 ± 0.14×10^-3 CB -4.26 ± 0.24×10^-4 → -4.26 ± 0.29×10^-4 DFA -4.98 ± 0.44×10^-5 → -4.98 ± 0.53×10^-5 §4 ¶4 training loss decrease: SB -0.447 ± 0.008 → -0.447 ± 0.010 CB -0.121 ± 0.003 stays DFA -0.095 ± 0.007 → -0.095 ± 0.008 §4 ¶1 vanilla DFA early-epoch deep cos / rho: -0.008 ± 0.013 → -0.008 ± 0.016 -0.018 ± 0.018 → -0.018 ± 0.017 -0.003 ± 0.005 → -0.003 ± 0.004 Appendix H L=4 d=512 3-seed: DFA layer-0 +0.412 ± 0.011 → +0.412 ± 0.013 DFA deep -0.0004 ± 0.0008 → -0.0004 ± 0.0009 CB deep +0.039 ± 0.010 → +0.039 ± 0.012 Appendix J Table 9 std rows updated to ddof=1 means. Appendix L drift values: DFA+pen w2 18.6 ± 0.5 → 18.6 ± 0.6 DFA+pen embed 94.6 ± 1.4 → 94.6 ± 1.8 (others unchanged within rounding) The §3 ¶3 no-outln value 0.327 ± 0.012 was already ddof=1 (was the single inconsistent place that motivated this sweep). Now the entire paper uses ddof=1 consistently. All means and per-seed values are unchanged (only the std reported changes). Headline science conclusions all unchanged. Page count 20 (unchanged). Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
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