diff options
Diffstat (limited to 'research/flossing/analysis_2x2/early_pairing_hrm26040_joint.md')
| -rw-r--r-- | research/flossing/analysis_2x2/early_pairing_hrm26040_joint.md | 17 |
1 files changed, 17 insertions, 0 deletions
diff --git a/research/flossing/analysis_2x2/early_pairing_hrm26040_joint.md b/research/flossing/analysis_2x2/early_pairing_hrm26040_joint.md new file mode 100644 index 0000000..8d90e02 --- /dev/null +++ b/research/flossing/analysis_2x2/early_pairing_hrm26040_joint.md @@ -0,0 +1,17 @@ +# Early-window pairing — hrm26040_joint +- paired n=2048; final acc=0.5259; already-correct@step4=0.3447 +- of final-correct, fraction already correct@4: 0.6555 +- early-window lam1: final-correct med -0.1714, final-wrong med -0.1314 + +## Forecasting FINAL outcome from the first 4 ACT steps +- AUC(-lam1_early -> final correct) = 0.728 +- AUC(-drift@4 -> final correct) = 0.486 +- AUC(q_halt@4 -> final correct) = 0.908 +- reference: AUC(-lam1_full -> final correct) = 0.987 + +## Restricted to examples NOT yet correct at step 4 (the decision-relevant set) +- n=1342, of which eventually correct: 371 (0.276) +- AUC(-lam1_early -> eventually correct) = 0.448 +- AUC(-drift@4 -> eventually correct) = 0.312 +- AUC(q_halt@4 -> eventually correct) = 0.734 +- early lam1 med: eventually-correct -0.1225 vs never-correct -0.1314
\ No newline at end of file |