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authorYurenHao0426 <Blackhao0426@gmail.com>2026-08-07 12:56:58 -0500
committerYurenHao0426 <Blackhao0426@gmail.com>2026-08-07 12:56:58 -0500
commit8cbca53997292045f1bee1e2bbda2c051eb6c578 (patch)
tree0b4463ad8f7a4a1ab0f9366212ba9e3602e32782 /RAIN_EP_DILLAVOU_MATRIX.md
parentb2f18afcbbe1ce97d4f3f4bd098986afcc23f203 (diff)
results: record weak Dillavou S0 bias screen
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@@ -43,6 +43,13 @@ the frozen grid `0.003, 0.01, 0.03, 0.1`. The same wave includes clean PEP,
random-sign beta, centered EP, and one SDIL arm. S0 is development evidence
and is never reported as a final result.
+S0 did not select a magnitude. Clean PEP reached 57.55% holdout accuracy,
+while raw offsets from 0.003 through 0.1 reached 60.0--61.8%. At this short
+horizon the fixed offsets were not harmful. Random-sign and centered raw arms
+were lower at 50.9% and 53.45%, but their clean controls were absent, so this
+does not isolate an offset effect. SDIL reduced the residual update offset to
+`1.30e-9` of the clean update. A larger-range S0b screen is required.
+
## Confirmation matrix
After S0 freezes one offset magnitude, the full author horizon compares: