results: close Oral-A v3 causal-capture gate

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diff --git a/REVIEW_SCORECARD.md b/REVIEW_SCORECARD.md
index 3bbb0c8..59fe99e 100644
--- a/REVIEW_SCORECARD.md
+++ b/REVIEW_SCORECARD.md
@@ -59,6 +59,7 @@ Every formal result report records:
 | Oral-A A1/A2 | 5 | BP reached 91.62%; short channel-gated SDIL reached 41.98% versus tuned DFA at 37.16% | Development screening alone cannot raise the score |
 | Oral-A A3 fails | 5 | Full ResNet-20 SDIL became nonfinite at epoch 89 and ended at 10%; DFA ended finite at 33.06% | Standard-scale and oral-A claims are closed; A4 remains untouched |
 | Oral-A-v2 causal capture fails | 5 | Structured perturbation improves early/all-layer alignment 6.5x/4.5x but misses the frozen early gate | Mechanism diagnosis sharpens; no full standard-scale endpoint opens |
+| Oral-A-v3 causal capture fails | 5 | Direct A/G perturbation lowers synthetic estimator variance but leaves real early alignment at 0.0071 | Coefficient regression is not the dominant early bottleneck; full scale remains closed |
 | Oral-A A4 | not opened | The prerequisite A3 gate failed | No oral-A confirmation claim is available |
 
 These are conditional reviewer forecasts, not promised scores. A failed stage leaves its negative
@@ -75,6 +76,7 @@ retroactively reopened by success on standard vision benchmarks.
 | 2026-07-22 / native C4 | BurstCCN and Dual Prop author-code records pass the strict audit; Dual Prop reproduces 92.46% test in 23119.8 s | 5 → 5 | Closes a baseline-fidelity objection and confirms a strong expensive comparator, but does not repair SDIL's failed A3 evidence |
 | 2026-07-22 / Oral-A-v2 V2-1 | Six clean frozen-forward records: structured calibration raises early/all-layer alignment to 0.0072/0.0527 but fails two frozen advancement checks | 5 → 5 | Confirms representable-subspace variance was real, while showing that early-layer causal credit remains below the standard-depth gate; V2-2 and confirmation stay closed |
 | 2026-07-22 / post-failure representation oracle | Current family has a 0.0240 cross-validated early-alignment ceiling on the fixed probe versus 0.0072 learned; unconstrained basis coefficients reach 0.0549 | 5 → 5 | Localizes both a causal-regression gap and an output-error-only capacity gap, but an oracle audit supplies no task-performance evidence |
+| 2026-07-22 / Oral-A-v3 V3-1 | Four clean frozen-forward records: vectorizer-space estimation raises all-layer alignment to 0.0626 but leaves early alignment at 0.0071 and fails three advancement checks | 5 → 5 | Exact lower-variance mechanics do not repair early credit; no full ResNet or confirmation evidence is opened |
 
 Future rows are appended only after an audited frozen stage. A score staying flat is informative:
 engineering, theory exposition, or visualization may make the paper more defensible without