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Diffstat (limited to 'RAIN_EP_RELEASED_PROFILE.md')
| -rw-r--r-- | RAIN_EP_RELEASED_PROFILE.md | 11 |
1 files changed, 11 insertions, 0 deletions
diff --git a/RAIN_EP_RELEASED_PROFILE.md b/RAIN_EP_RELEASED_PROFILE.md index d124cc3..1b46f1e 100644 --- a/RAIN_EP_RELEASED_PROFILE.md +++ b/RAIN_EP_RELEASED_PROFILE.md @@ -55,3 +55,14 @@ have lower held-out residual bias and higher task accuracy than the matched intercept-only arm. Final evidence additionally requires multiple seeds, a frozen probe cadence, measurement noise/quantization, and the strong-clamp baseline. + +R0 did not pass this gate. Clean positive EP reached 53.2% after one epoch and +the raw released-profile arm reached 40.0%. With only the initial probe, +intercept and affine predictors were exactly matched at 49.9%. At cadence 10, +affine SDIL reached 49.9% versus 44.8% for the intercept, but its final relative +residual was higher (`9.51e-4` versus `5.95e-4`). At cadence 50, affine SDIL +had a slightly lower residual (`7.42e-3` versus `7.55e-3`) but lower accuracy +(47.1% versus 48.4%). No cadence improved both mechanism and task performance, +so R0 is ambiguous negative development evidence and is not promoted. The +stable centered-EP backbone identified by C0 is required before further task +confirmation. |