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Diffstat (limited to 'RAIN_EP_RELEASED_PROFILE.md')
| -rw-r--r-- | RAIN_EP_RELEASED_PROFILE.md | 20 |
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diff --git a/RAIN_EP_RELEASED_PROFILE.md b/RAIN_EP_RELEASED_PROFILE.md index 1d52ad6..adb6749 100644 --- a/RAIN_EP_RELEASED_PROFILE.md +++ b/RAIN_EP_RELEASED_PROFILE.md @@ -183,3 +183,23 @@ four budgets lose to retaining the last measured intercept. This closes cadence/probe-budget tuning for the current predictor; further work must change the local identification rule and then re-enter through a new development screen rather than scaling this implementation. + +## R6 local least-squares development screen + +R6 changed only the affine predictor's local identification rule from +normalized LMS to online least squares. Each parameter stores its own running +state/measurement statistics; it receives no label, clean update, generated +bias coefficient, or nonlocal value. The matched upfront-probe experiment was +then repeated on the same seed and split: + +| upfront probes | intercept tracker | least-squares SDIL | SDIL minus intercept | +|---:|---:|---:|---:| +| 2 | 43.75% | 44.65% | +0.90 points | +| 4 | 41.30% | 45.35% | +4.05 points | +| 8 | 44.90% | 46.10% | +1.20 points | +| 16 | 45.45% | 45.90% | +0.45 points | + +Least-squares SDIL wins all four equal-budget comparisons. At four probes it +recovers 45.35% versus 41.30% for the tracker and a 46.00% clean/oracle +reference from R1. This is positive development evidence, not confirmation; +the four-probe point is frozen for the next paired-seed check. |