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@@ -635,12 +635,33 @@ The executable post-failure diagnosis finds a specific precursor rather than
only a bad endpoint. Before nonfiniteness, the apical prediction--target cosine
never exceeds `8.51e-5` in magnitude, while calibration MSE differs from target
power by at most `6.96e-8` relatively. Target power grows `2560.7x` from epoch
-1 to 80 and `2.13e9x` by epoch 87. Thus the positive short-run teaching
-alignment cannot be attributed to successful causal calibration of `A`; the
-full-spatial K1 estimator is effectively all noise after projection into the
-small channel-gated vectorizer. This is a post-failure diagnosis, not a passed
-preregistered result, and motivates a separately labelled representable-
-subspace estimator rather than a threshold change to Oral-A v1.
+1 to 80 and `2.13e9x` by epoch 87. These instantaneous metrics show that
+stochastic unit targets dominate the regression signal, but the later v2
+experiment also establishes an important interpretation limit: near-zero
+single-event target cosine does not by itself prove zero conditional learning.
+
+The separately frozen post-failure v2 screen perturbs only the two basis fields
+expressible by the channel-gated vectorizer. At identical query count and 400
+frozen-forward calibration minibatches, selected `eta_A=0.01` gives:
+
+| estimator | calibration metric space | early-third alignment | all-layer alignment |
+|:--|:--|--:|--:|
+| unit targets | full hidden field | 0.001105 | 0.011664 |
+| channel subspace | channel-basis moments | 0.007209 | 0.052740 |
+
+Thus representable-subspace perturbation improves early/all-layer
+exact-gradient alignment by 6.5x/4.5x at matched causal-query count.
+However, it misses the frozen early alignment threshold (`0.007209 < 0.01`)
+and the required absolute advantage (`0.006104 < 0.01`). V2-1 therefore fails,
+the full v2 ResNet run is not launched, and confirmation remains untouched.
+The useful conclusion is narrower: spatial projection was a real variance
+problem, but removing it does not yet deliver sufficient early-layer causal
+credit at standard depth.
+
+The two target-power logs are not directly comparable: unit targets are scored
+per full hidden field, whereas structured targets are scored per channel-basis
+moment. No empirical 1133x variance-reduction claim is made from their raw
+ratio.
## How to run
`experiments/run.py --mode {bp,fa,dfa,sdil} --dataset {mnist,fmnist,cifar10} --depth D --residual {0,1} --act {tanh,gelu,silu,relu}`