diff options
Diffstat (limited to 'results/oral_a_failure_diagnosis.json')
| -rw-r--r-- | results/oral_a_failure_diagnosis.json | 23 |
1 files changed, 16 insertions, 7 deletions
diff --git a/results/oral_a_failure_diagnosis.json b/results/oral_a_failure_diagnosis.json index 7c6b31b..5239e8b 100644 --- a/results/oral_a_failure_diagnosis.json +++ b/results/oral_a_failure_diagnosis.json @@ -44,14 +44,15 @@ "target_power_growth_epoch1_to_87": 2126827049.3932126 }, "diagnosis": { - "classification": "causal_target_not_captured_before_runaway", + "classification": "unit_target_regression_snr_inadequate_before_runaway", "evidence": [ - "prediction-target cosine remains effectively zero", - "calibration MSE remains indistinguishable from target power", + "instantaneous prediction-target cosine remains effectively zero", + "calibration MSE remains indistinguishable from stochastic target power", "target power grows by orders of magnitude before nonfiniteness", - "short-run teaching alignment therefore cannot be attributed to learned A" + "matched frozen-forward unit targets later yield only 0.0011 early-layer alignment" ], - "next_test": "reduce estimator variance by perturbing the representable channel-gated feedback subspace, not every spatial unit" + "interpretation_limit": "instantaneous target metrics alone do not prove zero conditional learning; structured v2 has low instantaneous cosine yet positive exact-gradient alignment", + "next_test_outcome": "representable-subspace perturbation improved exact alignment but failed the frozen early-layer causal-capture gate" }, "frozen_outcome": { "confirmation_test_seeds_touched": false, @@ -71,7 +72,14 @@ "loss": null } }, - "protocol": "oral_a_A3_failure_diagnosis_v1", + "post_failure_v2_refinement": { + "structured_all_layer_alignment": 0.05273995646520665, + "structured_early_third_alignment": 0.007209055746595065, + "structured_gate_status": "failed", + "unit_target_all_layer_alignment": 0.011664319529173602, + "unit_target_early_third_alignment": 0.0011051012067279469 + }, + "protocol": "oral_a_A3_failure_diagnosis_v2", "short_screen_contrast": { "accuracy": 0.4198, "early_third_alignment": 0.08889565182228883, @@ -85,6 +93,7 @@ "source_paths": { "full": "results/oral_a_dev/sdil_full_r20_s0.json", "gate": "results/oral_a_full_gate.json", - "short": "results/oral_a_short/sdil_channel_gated_lr0.03.json" + "short": "results/oral_a_short/sdil_channel_gated_lr0.03.json", + "v2_gate": "results/oral_a_v2_calibration_gate.json" } } |