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{
"analysis": "side32_static_calibration_budget_stress",
"confirmatory": true,
"comparison": "16 versus 256 instruction-off observations per edge",
"bootstrap": {
"unit": "task; three component draws averaged within task",
"task_clusters": 40,
"replicates": 20000,
"seed": 20260829,
"interval": "percentile 95%"
},
"metrics": {
"classification_error": {
"budget16_mean": 0.271875,
"budget256_mean": 0.303125,
"budget256_improvement": -0.03125,
"paired_task_bootstrap_95ci": [
-0.059375,
-0.003125
],
"higher_is_better": false
},
"classification_error_auc": {
"budget16_mean": 0.29671006944444445,
"budget256_mean": 0.2908246527777778,
"budget256_improvement": 0.005885416666666668,
"paired_task_bootstrap_95ci": [
-0.01811653645833334,
0.029548828124999982
],
"higher_is_better": false
},
"stable_zero_fraction": {
"budget16_mean": 0.2333333333333333,
"budget256_mean": 0.2,
"budget256_improvement": -0.03333333333333334,
"paired_task_bootstrap_95ci": [
-0.09166666666666667,
0.025
],
"higher_is_better": true
},
"local_scalar_reads_to_target": {
"budget16_mean": 9347072.0,
"budget256_mean": 9573717.333333334,
"budget256_improvement": -226645.3333333334,
"paired_task_bootstrap_95ci": [
-430080.0,
-10922.666666666744
],
"higher_is_better": false
}
},
"decision_rule": "sampling-limited only if final error improves by at least 0.02 and the paired 95% interval excludes zero",
"sampling_limited": false,
"sources": {
"budget16": "results/coupled_ladder/p2_confirm_side32.json",
"budget256": "results/coupled_ladder/p4_constant256_side32.json"
}
}
|
