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{
"calibration_precursor": {
"checkpoints": [
{
"epoch": 1,
"mse_to_target_power": 1.0000000242141691,
"prediction_target_cosine": -5.120151685872971e-06,
"target_power": 142.2609250246797
},
{
"epoch": 20,
"mse_to_target_power": 1.0000000055445346,
"prediction_target_cosine": -9.188050003749003e-06,
"target_power": 492.22621874637883
},
{
"epoch": 40,
"mse_to_target_power": 1.0000000207505706,
"prediction_target_cosine": -1.6028913891638828e-05,
"target_power": 3347.859035403952
},
{
"epoch": 60,
"mse_to_target_power": 0.9999999997640454,
"prediction_target_cosine": 4.038185739212611e-05,
"target_power": 12104.714606234214
},
{
"epoch": 80,
"mse_to_target_power": 0.9999999967773018,
"prediction_target_cosine": 6.468792391264821e-05,
"target_power": 364280.45838307025
},
{
"epoch": 87,
"mse_to_target_power": 1.0000000346545865,
"prediction_target_cosine": 1.4983485078330897e-05,
"target_power": 302564383414.18854
}
],
"max_abs_mse_to_target_power_minus_one": 6.963728138575931e-08,
"max_abs_prediction_target_cosine_before_nonfinite": 8.508675264290486e-05,
"target_power_growth_epoch1_to_80": 2560.650145638194,
"target_power_growth_epoch1_to_87": 2126827049.3932126
},
"diagnosis": {
"classification": "causal_target_not_captured_before_runaway",
"evidence": [
"prediction-target cosine remains effectively zero",
"calibration MSE remains indistinguishable from target power",
"target power grows by orders of magnitude before nonfiniteness",
"short-run teaching alignment therefore cannot be attributed to learned A"
],
"next_test": "reduce estimator variance by perturbing the representable channel-gated feedback subspace, not every spatial unit"
},
"frozen_outcome": {
"confirmation_test_seeds_touched": false,
"final_accuracy": 0.1,
"final_finite": false,
"first_nonfinite_epoch": 89,
"last_finite_validation": {
"accuracy": 0.2282,
"epoch": 80,
"finite": true,
"loss": 1080.0792
},
"last_reported_validation": {
"accuracy": 0.1,
"epoch": 200,
"finite": false,
"loss": null
}
},
"protocol": "oral_a_A3_failure_diagnosis_v1",
"short_screen_contrast": {
"accuracy": 0.4198,
"early_third_alignment": 0.08889565182228883,
"warmup_mse_to_target_power": 1.0000000128001325,
"warmup_prediction_target_cosine": 0.00016553175127441687
},
"source_commits": {
"full": "a1d060e6d96d4ab973d16cd75149dd61899c7c95",
"short": "a1d060e6d96d4ab973d16cd75149dd61899c7c95"
},
"source_paths": {
"full": "results/oral_a_dev/sdil_full_r20_s0.json",
"gate": "results/oral_a_full_gate.json",
"short": "results/oral_a_short/sdil_channel_gated_lr0.03.json"
}
}
|
