docs: record oral B recovery boundary

1 files changed, 23 insertions, 15 deletions

diff --git a/ROADMAP.md b/ROADMAP.md
index d10db78..c40efc5 100644
--- a/ROADMAP.md
+++ b/ROADMAP.md
@@ -20,9 +20,9 @@ not count.
 
 The preregistered oral-B task, structural screen, confirmation seeds, signature thresholds, and
 phase-specific lesion are specified in `ORAL_B.md`. They were frozen while C4 author baselines
-were still running and before any continuous-BCI result was generated. Oral-B confirmation remains
-sequenced after C4; implementation and CPU-only mechanics may be prepared while the accept jobs
-occupy both authorized GPUs.
+were still running and before any continuous-BCI result was generated. Oral-B confirmation was
+sequenced after C4 and the D4 accept gate; the realized original and recovery branches are
+reported below.
 
 **Oral-B development status: failed.** The complete frozen 12-candidate by three-task-seed screen
 found no eligible mechanism. High-learning-rate variants learned the BCI reliably, and several
@@ -32,24 +32,28 @@ preregistered stop rule, environment seeds 10--15 and all confirmation model see
 untouched. This falsifies the current model's claimed emergence of the Harnett derivative signature;
 it cannot be repaired by reporting only its successful learning or decoder results.
 
-**Oral-B recovery R0 status: mechanics passed, task gate sealed.** Reinspection
+**Oral-B recovery R0/R1 status: mechanics and development passed.** Reinspection
 of Fig. 5 and Extended Data Fig. 13 identifies a structural target conflict:
 the failed vectorizer regressed `e_t s_i`, so its role contrast encoded current
 error magnitude rather than the sign of error change. `ORAL_B_RECOVERY.md`
 factorizes a new candidate into a perturbation-learned causal role and the
 within-episode performance innovation `|e_(t-1)|-|e_t|`. Deterministic checks
 recover the role at cosine `0.9963` and change the controlled sign index from
-negative to `+0.100`. This is mechanics only; no BCI endpoint, development
-seed, or confirmation seed is touched. The two-rate, three-task-seed R1
-learning protocol and complete-grid analyzer are now committed, but its runner
-is hard-gated on a complete D4 pass. Confirmation seeds remain sealed.
-
-The untouched recovery confirmation is now also frozen before any R1 task
-endpoint. If and only if R1 selects an eligible rate, R2 runs task seeds
-10--15 by model seeds 0--4 with task-cluster uncertainty, the original B1/B2
-signature thresholds, and a plasticity lesion. A complete R2 pass supports
-innovation-guided plasticity and raises the strict score from 7 to 8; it cannot
-support online control because the recovery fixes `kappa=0`.
+negative to `+0.100`. After D4 passes, the frozen two-rate, three-task-seed R1
+screen selects `eta=0.1`; all 30 seed-level checks pass and worst-task final
+success is `98.05%`. R1 is development evidence and leaves the score at 7.
+
+**Oral-B recovery R2 status: failed; branch closed.** The untouched 6-task by
+5-model confirmation retains `99.53%` mean final success, `90.45` points of
+learning gain, strong fixed-vectorizer and plasticity-lesion margins, mean
+role cosine `0.9395`, positive sign inversion in all 30 records, and a `0.6389`
+velocity-over-error advantage. Residual decorrelation and decoder-distance
+prediction also pass. The joint biological gate fails because
+surrounding-state accuracy is `54.51%` versus the 55% mean threshold, residual
+outcome accuracy is only `47.33%`, residuals trail soma outcome decoding by
+`4.32` points, and longitudinal prediction is `-0.013`. The score remains 7,
+oral-A stays sealed, and no threshold repair or replacement confirmation is
+permitted. Because `kappa=0`, neither R1 nor R2 could support online control.
 
 ## Frozen accept claims and gates
 
@@ -585,6 +589,10 @@ strict reviewer score rises from 6 to 7, establishing the accept bar and
 opening oral-B recovery R1.  Oral-A remains sealed until the separately frozen
 oral-B R2 confirmation passes.
 
+R1 subsequently passes and selects `eta=0.1`, but the complete untouched R2
+gate fails the outcome-vectorization and longitudinal signatures. Oral-A
+therefore remains sealed permanently under this frozen sequence.
+
 Prepare convolutional local-update primitives and ResNet-20/32/56 protocols early. Queue frozen
 runs opportunistically on authorized idle GPUs. Because BurstCCN already reports CIFAR-10 and
 ImageNet scaling, dataset scale alone is not novel. The oral-level target is a memorable joint