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authorYurenHao0426 <Blackhao0426@gmail.com>2026-08-29 21:16:56 -0500
committerYurenHao0426 <Blackhao0426@gmail.com>2026-08-29 21:16:56 -0500
commita1e684f277b85eacea18ab1dc6a59e4f528e14d2 (patch)
treec4eea123002b4d48e53e64bedc67741724b36889 /THREE_PART_EVIDENCE.md
parent4a399e5f9336444e6d16aa859a9cb4c6e7f98be6 (diff)
docs: close the overclamp scaling evidence
Diffstat (limited to 'THREE_PART_EVIDENCE.md')
-rw-r--r--THREE_PART_EVIDENCE.md16
1 files changed, 11 insertions, 5 deletions
diff --git a/THREE_PART_EVIDENCE.md b/THREE_PART_EVIDENCE.md
index b597e25..b8785e4 100644
--- a/THREE_PART_EVIDENCE.md
+++ b/THREE_PART_EVIDENCE.md
@@ -86,16 +86,23 @@ instruction-off observations per edge at 2,048 edges. Final error changes from
95% interval from -5.94 to -0.31. Stable-zero fraction changes from 23.33% to
20.00%. The preregistered decision is `sampling_limited=false`.
-The overclamp confirmation is complete through 1,152 edges. At that size,
-clean overclamping, imperfect overclamping, and overclamping plus SDIL end at
-1.25%, 45.31%, and 1.25% error. The 2,048-edge endpoint is still running.
+The full overclamp confirmation gives the same result. At 2,048 edges, clean
+overclamping, imperfect overclamping, and overclamping plus SDIL end at 0.63%,
+46.88%, and 0.83% error. Their stable-zero fractions are 95.0%, 2.5%, and
+93.3%. Relative to imperfect overclamping, SDIL reduces the excess final-error
+growth slope by 99.0% (95% interval 97.4% to 100.0%), eliminates the positive
+error-AUC slope, and reduces the excess stable-failure growth slope by 98.2%
+(94.9% to 100.0%).
The publication figure and data are:
- `results/figs/figure_clln_scaling_confirmation.pdf`
- `results/figs/figure_clln_scaling_confirmation_resources.pdf`
+- `results/figs/figure_clln_overclamp_scaling_confirmation.pdf`
- `results/coupled_ladder/p2_scaling_analysis.json`
- `results/coupled_ladder/p2_scaling_source.csv`
+- `results/coupled_ladder/p3_overclamp_scaling_analysis.json`
+- `results/coupled_ladder/p3_overclamp_scaling_source.csv`
The mechanism statement is now explicit in `THEORY.md`. For a local
state-dependent component error, conditional subtraction removes at least as
@@ -188,5 +195,4 @@ teaching rule itself is contrastive and local.
## Remaining gates
-1. Finish the 2,048-edge overclamp endpoint and rebuild its scaling figure.
-2. Audit every manuscript number against its source JSON.
+1. Audit every publication-facing number against its source JSON.